Monday, October 2, 2017

Forex trend


forex trend So, how do you find out which Forex pair and time frame is best to trade? Knowing the trend is crucial. Sure, you have experienced times when you entered the trade and waited during the choppy zone while some other pair was making a solid move. Trading the market that turns up and down and takes back all the profits during a series of losses feels like a slow torture. Forex Trendy is a software solution to avoid trading during uncertain market periods . Instead, pick the best trending pair at the current time.


It uses no indicators, but the trend is determined by pure price action. It quickly scans 34 Forex pairs on all time frames from minute to monthly. That's 34 x 9 = 306 charts . Forex Trendy analyzes all the charts for you every second! This way, you get the best trending pair and time frame at any time you want. The software runs on our powerful computers so you instantly get the result online.


Therefore, you can use your favorite trading platform such as MetaTrader, NinjaTrader, TradeStation. and there is nothing you have to download or install . It is very easy to use. The truth is that most Forex systems or robots make money with the trend, but lose money in a choppy market .


For example, imagine you trade a system that makes 50% winning trades, but another 50% are losing trades. By following the trend you would dramatically increase the odds of winning. If you increase the odds of winning by only 20%, that would make 70% winning trades and 30% losing trades. This can make the difference between losing (or breaking-even) and winning.


In other words, by following the best trend it can only be better . Avoid struggling with the erratic market chaos when the trend direction is unclear. Take only confident trades in the best markets at the current time. You would be the one knowing which one particular (even exotic) pair is trending while other traders wouldn't notice it without this tool. Knowledge is power!


Forex Trendy is a much more sophisticated application capable of recognizing the most reliable continuation chart patterns. It scans through all the charts, on all time frames and analyzes every potential breakout . After considering the reliability of the pattern it tells you something like this And you see the chart with the trend lines forming the triangle and the breakout point &ndash all that clearly drawn for you . The trend line looks solid with many touching points, so you are prepared for the massive breakout.


Something you would miss unless you have supernatural powers to watch and analyze all the charts! Such events happen very rarely in one single chart. It's not just drawing trendlines, but it's actually looking for reliable patterns formed by strong trendlines having more than two touching points at a certain distance. Not familiar with chart patterns and these fancy names?


You will get the 30-page ebook with tons of real examples "Understanding The Myths Of Market Trends And Patterns" right after subscribing! Forex Trend Indicators Free, Easy Setup, 9 Time Frames. Here are the instructions for setting up the free forex trend indicators on any metatrader platform. The indicators are great forex trading tools and can be used to conduct multiple time frame analysis, follow the trends of the market and our trend based trading plans.


The indicators are adaptable to most forex trading and charting systems. These indicators are quite simple but very effective for market analysis. Instructions For Setup. These instructions are for setting up the forex trend indicator on a Metatrader platform, however experienced traders can set up these simple exponential moving averages on almost any good quality forex charting platform.


1. Open up a Metatrader platform from any broker you wish. A Metatrader platform from any broker is fine. 2. Open up a chart on one pair. One way to do this is to right click on a pair in the quote window and symbol area and click on "chart window" in the drop down menu. The chart will be added to the platform. 3. Go to the top tool bar and there is an icon that looks like a magnifying glass with a + sign. You can click on the + sign twice to magnify the chart.


Some personal choice is involved here but if you do this the charts will match the setup we use every day. There are images of this exact setup all over our website to check against so you know you have set the charts up correctly. 4. In the "Navigator" area under "Indicators" right click on "moving average", then click on "attach to a chart". 5. Fill in the fields like this Period 5, ma method exponential, apply to close, style green, line thickness second one from the top. 6. Repeat step number 5 and fill in the fields like this Period 12, ma method exponential, apply to close, style red and line thickness second one from the top.


7. On the "visualization" tab check "all time frames" then click OK. You now are finished with the setup on one pair for all 9 time frames. Repeat the process for each successive currency pair. It takes about 30 minutes to set up all 28 pairs we follow. If you do this once all of the settings will be saved automatically for all of the pairs. Forex Trend Indicator Videos.


We have a few short videos to show traders how to set up the indicators, if the written instructions above are not clear. The videos will show you the basic setup and some variations of the basic setup including setting up the indicators by individual currency, or using Metatrader profiles. Check out our forex videos page for these short videos. Forex Trend Indicator Screenshots. After you have installed the trend indicators on Metatrader you can check them against the image below to see if they match. We also have various chart examples all over our website and a chart library on our forex blog, to run further side by side checks. This is what they look like.


Setting Price Alerts. The Metatrader platform has free desktop price alarms built into the platform, these are audible alerts that sound when price levels are breached. You can set them on all 28 pairs we follow. Our forex video library shows you how to set up the audible price alerts. The daily trading plans that we issue work extremely well with the price alarm system. Each trading plan we issue contains specific alarm points across several of the pairs we follow, to monitor for breakouts in the direction of the major trends of the market.


Traders can check with your broker on how to get these price alerts delivered to your cell phone. When the price alarms hit, just check the smaller time frames on the trend indicators along with The Forex Heatmap® for trade entry verification into the major trend or oscillation cycle. Following the trends of the forex market, along with a well prepared trading plan, when combined with good money management, will guide you through the trade entry process into the larger trends of the forex market. These forex trend indicators and audible price alerts are important components of our trading system. Forex Market Trends for Tuesday 12 September 2017. USD stages a comeback as concerns ebb USDJPY continues to recover. The mood remained positive as the major equity indices in Asia headed higher this morning, taking the cue from the positive closes from the US markets.


Concerns over the potential damage caused by Hurricane Irma appear to have eased and the North Korean issues remain at least something that resembles to an "on hold". Euro climbs as markets await Draghi. DXY stages a small recovery USD remains pressured against JPY and CHF on North Korea.


How do you draw trend lines? To draw forex trend lines properly, all you have to do is locate two major tops or bottoms and connect them. Yep, it’s that simple.


Here are trend lines in action! Look at those waves! There are three types of trends Uptrend (higher lows) Downtrend (lower highs) Sideways trends (ranging) Here are some important things to remember using trend lines in forex trading The STEEPER the trend line you draw, the less reliable it is going to be and the more likely it will break. Like horizontal support and resistance levels, trend lines become stronger the more times they are tested.


And most importantly, DO NOT EVER draw trend lines by forcing them to fit the market. If they do not fit right, then that trend line isn’t a valid one! The Stages Of A Forex Trend. A trend is simply a tendency for prices to move in a particular direction over a period of time. Trends can be long term, short term, upward, downward, and even sideways. When investing in the forex market, your success is tied to your ability to identify trends and position yourself for profitable entry and exit points.


Let's look at some stages of a forex trend and how they affect investors. (For related reading, see Anticipate Trends To Find Profits. ) Economic Trends Reflected in Currencies. For the most part, an economy that is strong will also have a strong currency. Economic strength attracts investment, and investment creates demand for a currency. In recent times, the demand for gold as an alternative to fiat currencies has led to a currency demand in those countries that produce gold, such as Australia, South Africa and Canada. (For more, see How To Trade Currency And Commodity Correlations.


) Example of a Trend in the Australian Dollar Against the U. S. Dollar. Note how the economic factors, in this case a demand for gold and the higher interest rates in Australia, have created a demand for the Australian currency. The demand will last until the exchange rate becomes too high and negatively affects Australian exports. In addition, factors in other economies have to be taken into account, since no single currency can act in isolation of the rest of the world's economies. The chart below (Figure 1) of the weekly AUDUSD shows the recent upward exchange rate trend in the Australian dollar against the U. S. dollar.


While the price (exchange rate) oscillated back and forth in a regression channel, providing some short-term trades in the opposite direction, the prevailing upward trend remains in tact. (For more, see Forex Should You Be Trading Trend Or Range? ) U. S. Dollar versus the Canadian Dollar.


In the case of the Australian dollar chart, there is an upward-sloping growth path as the demand for Australian dollars increases. Since the Australian currency is the base currency and the U. S. dollar is the quote currency, the chart shows a strong upward-trending and strengthening Australian dollar. On the other hand, in the case of the Canadian dollar against the U. S. dollar, the U. S. dollar is the base currency while the Canadian dollar is the quote currency. Thus the chart shows the U. S. dollar sloping downward as it weakens against the Canadian dollar.


(For related reading, see Using Bollinger Band® "Bands" To Gauge Trends. ) The conventional wisdom amongst traders is that "the trend is your friend." While this is good advice, we have to add the cautionary line that "the trend is your friend …


until it ends." Trends Vs. Ranges. Let us first look at the question of where a trend could possibly start, and once started, where to take part in the action.


To answer these questions, we need the help of some technical analysis. To keep our analysis as simple as possible, we'll create a chart that uses a weekly time frame and uses only two indicators. The first indicator is a simple 20-period moving average calculated on the closing prices. However, to give us a little wiggle room we will also add an additional 20-period simple moving average, but this time calculated on the price "highs." Then we will add another 20-period simple moving average calculated on the price "lows." The result is a moving average channel that will reflect a dynamic price equilibrium. (For more, see Deadly Flaws In Major Market Indicators.


) We will use this channel to give us an idea of when prices are trending up and when prices are trending down. We will assume that if prices break below the channel there is a potential down trend, and if they break above the channel there is a potential uptrend. Also notice that when a market trends in either direction, there is the tendency for prices to move away from the channel and then to return to the channel as volatility increases and decreases, respectively. With volatility, prices always tend to revert to the mean over a period of time. This reversion to the mean provides either buying or selling opportunities depending on the direction of the trend. In addition to the moving averages, we also add a RSI set to a two-period, instead of the usual 14-period, with the plot guides set to 90 and 10 instead of the usual 70 and 30. (For more, see Find Forex Profit With The RSI Roller coaster.


) The chart shows some interesting opportunities. Look at the RSI and each time it reaches an extreme at the 90-plot guide it provides a sell opportunity while the trend is downward and prices are below the channel. Each time the RSI reaches the 90-plot guide, the price has also moved back to the channel, providing a new opportunity to sell in the direction of the trend. Conversely, as the trend moves upward, prices revert to the channel at the same time as the RSI reaches the 10-plot guide, providing new buying opportunities. Trading in the above manner means trading only in the direction of the trend each time it corrects, thus providing a new opportunity to participate. Many traders will look to trade reversals.


A reversal point is always where a trend starts or ends. To find these potential reversal points, we would look for price patterns (such as double or triple tops or bottoms), Fibonacci levels or trend lines. A reversal often occurs at a 127.2 or a 161.8 Fibonacci extension. Therefore, it is also useful to plot the Fibonacci lines on the weekly charts and then to watch what occurs on the daily chart as prices approach one of the Fib levels. (For more, see Make Money With The Fibonacci ABC Pattern. ) You will also discover that some trends are stronger than others.


In fact, some trends become so exuberant that prices form a j-shaped or parabolic curve. On the next chart, we see an example of an irrational parabolic-shaped price curve of the World Silver Index. It is irrational because traders are pushing silver prices up, as the whole commodities complex is benefiting from strong fund flows into futures and ETFs without there being an equal and natural demand for the underlying product.


This is a case of "musical chairs" and when the music stops the exit door will become very narrow and late arriving traders will get hurt. The "spinning top" candlestick on the weekly silver chart should be a strong warning sign to traders that the trend could be ending. (For more, see Advanced Candlestick Patterns. ) In the case of the Canadian and Australian dollars (Figures 1 and 2), the curve shape follows a more normal upward slope than the silver price does.


Traders should always be aware of the curve shapes, since parabolic curves indicate a "bubble" mentality developing in the market. Stages of a Trend. We can't predict the future, but we can calculate the potential success of a trade by stacking various factors in an effort to tilt the odds in our favor.


Since all speculation is based on odds, not certainties, we need to be mindful of risk and employ methods to manage the risk. When placing a trade, it is essential to always place stops to limit losses, should the trade not go our way. Remember that the major market makers know where all the stops are sitting and could, in certain circumstances (especially in times of low liquidity) reach for the stops. Thus, our stops should be in a place where there is enough room to prevent them from being taken out prematurely. To best manage a stop policy in trending markets, use "volatility stops." The well-known Parabolic SAR indicator can also be used to trail the market and take profits once the stop is hit. In the chart below (Figure 5), you can see how the 50-period three ATR trailing volatility stops trail prices and provide exit points if the trend suddenly reverses.


It is best to trade with the trend but to be alert as to when a trend is exhausted and a correction or reversal of the trend is in order. By observing and listening to market sentiment, following news announcements and using technical analysis to help time entries and exits, you should be able to develop your own personal rule-based system that is both profitable and simple to execute. (For more, see Seasonal Trends In The Forex Market. ) 3 Steps to a Forex Trend Trade. by Walker England. A trend trading plan can be created in 3 simple steps Traders can find a trend and then look to trade a price breakout Managing market exits can be done using previously identified highs and lows. It can be extremely difficult for new traders to finalize a trend trading strategy for trading the Forex market.


However, the good news is that most trend based strategies can be broken down into three different components. Today we are going to review the basics of a trending market strategy by identifying the trend, planning an entry, and identifying an exit. So let&rsquos get started! The first step to trend trading is to find the trend! There are many ways to identify the GBPUSD trend pictured below, but one of easiest is through identifying if price is creating higher highs or higher low.


If price is stair stepping upwards that means price is making higher highs, and the trend is up. Conversely if price is stepping down toward lower lows this mean price is potentially declining in a downtrend. Given the information above, traders should look for opportunities to buy the GBPUSD in its current uptrend. Pictured below we can see the chart graphically creating higher highs. If the trend continues, expectations are that price will remain support and new highs will continue to be created. Learn Forex &ndashGBPUSD 4Hour Trend. (Created using FXCM&rsquos Marketscope 2.0 charts) Once a trend is found, traders can choose from a variety of tactics to enter into the market. One of the easiest ways to enter into the market is through the use of a breakout.


Since the definition of an uptrend is the creation of higher highs and higher lows, traders can plan to enter into the market when the trend continues and the GBPUSD breaks to a higher high. Below you can see an entry to buy the GBP USD with the trend. Traders using this methodology can set an entry above this value and in the event price breaks above this value they will be entered into the market. There are two benefits of using an entry order . First you don&rsquot have to be in front of your computer to be entered into a position. As long as you have an entry and the price you have selected is available for trading, your order will be triggered. Secondly, in the event price never breaks above the previous high this order can also be deleted.


Now that we have an entry planned let&rsquos look at completing our trading idea. Learn Forex &ndash GBPUSD Breakout Strategy. (Created using FXCM&rsquos Marketscope 2.0 charts) When trading markets, there is always the potential to lose money. That&rsquos why when trading trends, it is important to know that they will eventually come to an end. In an uptrend like the GBPUSD, traders may place stops under the previously identified swing low (higher low). In the event that price breaks under this value, it may symbolize that at least temporarily the GBPUSD trend may be ending. Traders can exit any positions at this point through the use of a Stop Order.


Knowing where to take profit is also an important part of any trend trading plan. Traders should look to avoid the &ldquo Traders Number One Mistake &rdquo by looking to make more in profits than what they risk in the event the trade moves against them. Using the example above, if a 150 pip stop loss has been set under the swing low, traders will expect more in return in the event that they are right. If a 300 pip limit has been set, this would create an expectation of a 12 RiskReward ratio. ---Written by Walker England, Trading Instructor. To Receive Walkers&rsquo analysis directly via email, please SIGN UP HERE.


Interested in learning more about Forex trading and strategy development? Signup for a series of free &ldquoAdvanced Trading&rdquo guides, to help you get up to speed on a variety of trading topics. Register here to continue your Forex learning now! DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets. How to Build and Trade a Trend-Following Strategy. Price action and Macro.


Traders should look to match their strategy with the appropriate market condition. Trends can be attractive since a bias has been witnessed in that particular market. In this article, we show how traders can begin to develop their own trend-trading strategy. To anyone trading in markets, it&rsquos often advisable to have a strategy of some type to go about doing it. After all, just &lsquoguessing&rsquo isn&rsquot likely going to work out too well for anyone speculating in markets over the long run.


Having some idea for the type of situation one is looking for can be extremely helpful. With a strategy, traders can look to focus on situations in which the market may be giving them the best probabilities of success. After discovering the necessity of a strategy, traders will often go on to seek the &lsquobest&rsquo strategy that they can find. This can be an elongated process for some folks, as many traders are often looking for something that doesn&rsquot exist They&rsquore looking for the strategy that rarely (or never) loses.


This just doesn&rsquot exist. Regardless of how strong a strategy ever might be, it will never be 100% predictive of market movements. The future is opaque with or without a strong strategy. A good strategy can simply allow the trader to focus on higher-probability setups and situations in an effort to win more money than they lose so that they may be able to net a profit. As we looked at in the article, How to Build a Trading Strategy , markets will often exhibit one of three different conditions, and traders are often best served by matching their strategy with the appropriate market condition.


In this article, and the next two we will examine each of these three conditions in more depth so that traders can decide how to more adequately formulate their strategies. In this article, we&rsquore going to focus on the most popular condition Trends. Of the three possible market conditions, trends are probably the most popular amongst traders and the reason for that is what we had alluded to a little earlier. The future is opaque, and price movements are unpredictable.


By simply recognizing a trend, the trader has noticed a bias that has shown itself in the marketplace. Maybe there is improving fundamental data for that economy or perhaps it&rsquos a central-bank driven move on the back of &lsquoYen-tervention&rsquo or another round of QE. Created with MarketscopeTrading Station II Prepared by James Stanley. Whatever the reason, a bias exists in the market and that&rsquos visible from the trajectory on the chart. The alluring part of this is that if that bias continues, the trader might be able to jump on the trend, and let the market do the heavy lifting of moving the position into profitable territory. Another attractive aspect of trading with trends is that the speculator can look to employ the age-old logic of &lsquobuy-low, sell-high.&rsquo It&rsquos not enough to simply buy an up-trend, or to sell a down-trend.


Traders are often best served by waiting for the up-trend to pull back before buying (or waiting for a down-trend to rip higher before selling), in an effort to enter the position as cheaply as possible. This way, if the trend doesn&rsquot continue, the trader can exit the position quickly before the loss becomes too unbearable. But if the trend does continue, the trader might be able to profit by three, four, or five times the amount they had to initially risk to enter the trade. This is a non-threatening way that traders can look to avoid The Number One Mistake that FX Traders Make .


How to Build a Trend Strategy. Many of the most popular indicators can be helpful when designing a trend strategy. And to take technical analysis a step further when designing a trend-trading approach, many traders will look to utilize multiple time frame analysis in order to get multiple looks at a trending market. We discussed the concept of Multiple Time Frame Analysis in the article, The Time Frames of Trading . In the article, we suggest potential time frames that traders can look to utilize based on their desired holding times. When utilizing multiple time frame analysis with a trend-trading strategy, traders are often going to look to the longer time frame to find and diagnose the strength of the trend.


This can be done in a multitude of ways. Some traders will prefer to do this without any indicators at all, using price and price alone (the study of which is referred to as &lsquoPrice Action,&rsquo which you can learn more about HERE ). Other traders will look to one of the more common indicators, the moving average .


There are a lot of different flavors and types of moving averages, but the goal is all the same &ndash to show us a &lsquoline-in-the-sand&rsquo as to whether price movements are &lsquoabove-average&rsquo or &lsquobelow-average&rsquo for a given period of time. Moving Averages can help traders diagnose and trade trends. Created with MarketscopeTrading Station II Prepared by James Stanley. After the trend has been diagnosed, the trader can then plot the entry into the position and for that, there are a multitude of options available.


Entering into the Trend. There is an old saying that goes &lsquoThe Trend is your friend&hellip until it ends.&rsquo This one line pretty much sums up the quandary that traders are faced with when trading trends. While a bias has been exhibited in the marketplace, and may continue there is no such thing as a &lsquosure-fire trend continuation setup.&rsquo So, when the trend doesn&rsquot continue, the trader is often advised to look to mitigate the loss so that a reversal doesn&rsquot damage their trading account too badly. In an effort to be as precise as possible, many traders will move down to a lower time frame in an effort to get a more detailed look at the move inside of the larger-term trend.


Some traders will use price action to enter on the lower time frame, in anticipation of the larger-picture trend continuing. We outlined such an approach in the article, Using Price Action to Trade Trends . Price Action can help traders diagnose and trade trends. Traders can also look to use indicators to plot an entry, under the premise that the longer-term trend may be at the early stages of its continuation and can be entered upon with the shorter-term chart. There are numerous indicator options for this premise. Many traders will look to oscillators such as RSI or MACD to trigger the position.


Other popular options are MACD, Stochastics , CCI , and the moving average crossover . Traders looking to speculate with the trend want to focus ONLY on signals that move in that direction. So, for instance, if an up-trend has been found on the longer-term chart, then the trader is only looking to buy. If they are looking to sell, then it&rsquos not a trend-trading strategy any longer as the trader is looking for a reversal (or a swing) that doesn&rsquot agree with the longer-term trend direction. Types of Trend-Trading Strategies. We talk a lot about trend-trading at DailyFX, and one of the primary reasons for this is that it is one of the more clean ways to utilize a trader&rsquos analysis into a trading plan .


After all, the future is unknown and nobody has a crystal ball that will magically foretell tomorrow&rsquos price movements. But the fact of the matter is that biases do exist, trends do take place (for a reason), and in many cases those trends may continue. In the article Using Price Action to Trade Trends , we show traders how such an approach can be built without the necessity of any indicators at all. Price and price alone is often enough to show traders what they need to see to decide when and how they want to enter trades in the direction of the trend. If traders want a more objective way of trading with trends, they can look to implement an indicator like RSI to trigger the position after the trend has been graded on the longer-term chart with Price Action. We covered this approach in the article, Price Action with RSI . Traders looking to use indicator-based strategies can take this a step further with the logic utilized in my &lsquofingertrap&rsquo scalping strategy.


This strategy was fully outlined in the article Short-Term Momentum Scalping in the Forex Market . In the strategy, moving averages are used to grade the trend on a longer time frame, and a moving averageprice action crossover on the shorter time frame is used to trigger in the direction of the trend. While this is designed as a scalping strategy, traders can certainly swap out the time frames with those suggested in The Time Frames of Trading to make the logic of the strategy operable on a longer-term basis. -- Written by James Stanley. James is available on Twitter @JStanleyFX. To join James Stanley&rsquos distribution list, please click here .


Would you like to enhance your FX Education? DailyFX has recently launched DailyFX University which is completely free to any and all traders! DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.


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